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IE Market Research Corporation: Peru will have 27.6 million mobile subscribers in 2013 with market share of Claro rising to 43.4%, according to new market research report by IEMR
Vancouver, Nov 27, 2009 (M2 PRESSWIRE via COMTEX) --
IE Market Research Corp. (IEMR), the Canadian-based provider of market intelligence services, announced today the release of its 4Q09 Peru Mobile Operator Forecast, 2009 - 2013.
"Double-digit subscriber growth continues in Peru's wireless market, but growth is slowing down. The industry average subscriber growth was 18.6% in 2Q.2009. We forecast that the number of total wireless subscriber accounts in Peru will increase from 18.5 million in 2008 to 27.6 million in 2013," said Nizar Assanie, Vice President (Research) at IEMR. "Movistar Peru will continue to be the largest mobile operator in Peru. We expect that Movistar Peru's subscriber accounts will increase from 10.6 million in 2008 to 14.1 million in 2013. We also forecast that Claro will have 11.9 million subscribers and Nextel will have 1.47 million subscribers by the end of 2013."
"We forecast that the industry average monthly ARPU (Average Revenue per User) in Peru will fall from PEN 27.23 in 2008 to PEN 24.19 in 2013. ARPU levels at Movistar Peru and Claro will be declining over the next several years to reach PEN 21.29 and PEN 21.02, respectively, in 2013. Although Nextel will continue to receive the highest level of ARPU in the country, we expect that its ARPU level will still decline from PEN 94.73 in 2008 to PEN 78.95 in 2013," said Mr. Assanie.
IEMR's Peru Mobile Operator Forecast covers 50 financial and operational metrics on wireless operators in Peru - Movistar PerA (Telefonica, S.A.), Claro S.A. (America Movil S.A.B. DE C.V.), and Nextel Communications. Notable highlights of the 4Q09 Peru Mobile Operator Forecast include:
* Given the latest quarter numbers, our model is now predicting that Movistar's market share in Peru will decline from 57.5% in 2008 to 51.3% in 2013. On the other hand, we think that Claro's market share will increase from 38.9% in 2008 to 43.4% in 2013. We also expect that Nextel's market share will be increasing from 3.6% in 2008 to 5.3% in 2013.
* We forecast that the industry average EBITDA margin (calculated as EBITDA/reported revenue) will improve from 30.8% in 2008 to 34.6% in 2013. We expect that EBITDA margins at Movistar Peru will remain higher than EBITDA margins at Claro and Nextel over the next several years. Our model forecasts that EBITDA margins at Movistar Peru, Claro, and Nextel will be 38.9%, 33.5%, and 16.0% respectively in 2013.
IEMR's Global Mobile Operator Forecast covers 50 operational metrics of 200+ mobile operators in 50 countries, making up 80% of the world's population. Forecasts are based on our proprietary, country-specific forecasting models. These models deploy multiple regression analysis and cross-impact matrices that estimate relationships between subscriber data, technology use and deployment data, overall economic and demographic changes expected in a particular country; and relate these to company operational and financial metrics.
To purchase this report, visit our website at: http://www.iemarketresearch.com/Members/Reports/ViewReportDetail.aspx?RID=1352&flag=1
Companies Covered in this Country Mobile Operator Forecast
Movistar Peru (Telefonica, S.A.)
Claro S.A. (America Movil S.A.B. DE C.V.)
Nextel Communications
Annual Results & Forecasts for each of the above operators is covered in this report for: CY 2001-CY 2013. Quarterly Results & Forecasts are covered for: March 2003 - June 2011
REPAID AND POSTPAID SUBSCRIBERS
SUBSCRIBER GROWTH (YoY)
SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS BY OPERATOR
NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR
MONTHLY CHURN BY OPERATOR *
POST-PAID SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
POST-PAID SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR
POST-PAID % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
PREPAID/WHOLESALE % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
POST-PAID ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
PREPAID/WHOLESALE ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR
MONTHLY ARPU BY OPERATOR
MONTHLY ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %)
DATA % OF SERVICE REVENUES BY OPERATOR
MONTHLY DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR
DATA ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
MONTHLY VOICE ARPU BY OPERATOR
VOICE ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE BY OPERATOR **
VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) **
MOU PER SUBSCRIBER BY OPERATOR (MINUTES/MONTH) **
MOU/SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %) **
SHARE OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
HHI INDEX BY SUBSCRIBER SHARE
SHARE OF NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
SHARE OF POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
SHARE OF PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
SHARE OF SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR
HHI INDEX BY SERVICE REVENUE SHARE
YoY CHANGE IN REVENUE SHARE BY OPERATOR
REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
EBITDA BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
CAPEX BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) ***
SERVICE REVENUE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
EBITDA GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
EBITDA/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR
EBITDA/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR
EBITDA/INCREMENTAL SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR
CAPEX/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR ***
CAPEX/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR ***
(EBITDA-CAPEX)/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR ***
EBITDA MARGIN EXPANSION/CONTRACTION BY OPERATOR
REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD)
ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD)
DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD)
VOICE REV/MINUTE BY OPERATOR (USD) **
SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD)
EBITDA BY OPERATOR (USD)
CAPEX BY OPERATOR (USD) ***
* Available only for Claro S.A. (America Movil S.A.B. DE C.V.) and Nextel Communications
** Available only for Movistar Peru (Telefonica, S.A.) and Claro S.A. (America Movil S.A.B. DE C.V.)
*** Available only for Movistar Peru (Telefonica, S.A.)
CONTACT: Mr. Nizar Assanie, Vice President (Research), IE Market Research
Tel: +1 604 327 4367
e-mail: info@iemarketresearch.com
WWW: http://www.iemarketresearch.com
((M2 Communications disclaims all liability for information provided within M2 PressWIRE. Data supplied by named party/parties. Further information on M2 PressWIRE can be obtained at http://www.presswire.net on the world wide web. Inquiries to info@m2.com.
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